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Using the Phillips curve to analyze the dynamic impact of oil price fluctuation on U.S. inflation,
利用菲利普斯曲线分析原油价格波动对美国通货膨胀的动态影响,

Hooker (2002) first proposed this view and found that the relationship can be negligible in the later half of the study period [5].
Hooker (2002) 首先提出这种观点并发现这种关系在研究的中后期可以忽略不计[5].

Jones et al. (2004) also support this view by summarizing the related literature [6].
Jones等人(2004) 在汇总了相关文献后同样支持这种观点[6].

However, as Balke et al. (2008) pointed out that these documents only can explain the phenomenon of gradually weakened negative relationship,
然而, 正如Balke等人(2008) 所指出的, 这些文档只能解释负相关渐弱的现象,

and it can not explain why the relationship now is positive [3].
而且它不能解释为什么这种关系现在是正相关[3].

So the existing literature can not effectively explain the cause of the changing relationship.
所以现存的文献不能有效的解释这个关系变动的原因.

Generally in the oil market the sources leading to price fluctuation are comprised of oil supply shocks, economic demand shocks and precautionary demand shocks.
总的来说, 在原油市场, 主导价格波动的来源由原油供应的冲击, 经济需求的冲击以及预防性需求的冲击所组成.

Oil supply shocks are the factors that impact oil price fluctuation through oil production volatility.
原油供应冲击这个要素是指原油生产波动对原油价格波动产生的影响.

Economic demand shocks are the world economic factors that impact oil price fluctuation through world oil demand volatility.
经济需求冲击这个全球性经济要素是指全球原油需求的波动对原油价格波动产生的影响.

Precautionary demand shocks are specific to the crude oil market and designed to capture shifts in the price of oil driven by higher precautionary
demand associated with fears about the availability of future oil supplies.
预防性需求冲击是针对原油市场的, 它的目的在于预防因担忧未来原油供应的可获得性而形成的较高预防性需求所导致的原油价格变动.

If oil price is driven by different factors, the economic consequences will be different.
如果原油价格是由不同要素驱动的, 那么经济后果也会有所不同.

When commenting on the view of Blanchard and Gali (2007) [7], U.S. energy economic research scholar Rotemberg (2007) [8] also pointed out that the
dynamic changing relationship between oil price fluctuation and economic development can be interpreted from this angle, but he did not carry out theoretical and empirical analysis.
在评论Blanchard和Gali (2007) [7]的观点时, 美国能源经济研究学者 Rotemberg (2007) [8] 也指出, 原油价格波动与经济发展之间的动态变化关系可以从这个角度解读, 但是他没有完成理论与实证的分析.

This is precisely the source of the ideas of the paper.
这恰恰是这篇研究报告观点的来源.