(1)X的所有可能数值为为200,20,10,
P(X=200)=,
P(X=20)==,
P(X=10)==,
∴E(X)=++=20.
(2)记Yn(n=1,2,3,…,10)为第n次抽奖获得的奖金,Yn的取值为5×2n-1,0,
且P(Yn=5×2n-1)==
2(n!) |
2n(2n?1)(2n?2)…(n+1) |
,
记an=
2(n!) |
2n(2n?1)(2n?2)…(n+1) |
,
下面用数学归纳法证明an≤,
①当n=1时,a1 =1≤1=,命题成立;
②假设当n=k(k∈N*)时,命题成立,即ak=
2(k!) |
2k(2k?1)(2k?2)…(k+1) |
≤,
则当n=k+1时,ak+1=
2[(k+1)!] |
(2k+2)(2k+1)(2k)…(k+2) |
=?
≤?,
∵k∈Z,∴由k≥1,得4k+2≥3k+3,
∴≤,
an+1≤?≤×=,
∴n=k+1时,命题成立,
综合①②,得an≤对一切n∈N*,
∴E(Yn)=5×2n-1×an≤5×(
)n?1,n=1,2,3,…,10,
记Y为在乙商场抽奖获得的总奖金,则Y=Y1+Y2+…+Y10,
∴E(Y)=E(Y1)+E(Y2)+E(Y3)+…+E(Y10)≤5[1++(
)2+…+(
)n]=5×=15[1-()10]<15
∴E(X)<E(Y),即在甲商场抽奖得奖金的期望值更高,故选甲商场.