“五一”期间,甲乙两个商场分别开展促销活动.(1)甲商场的规则是:凡购物满100元,可抽奖一次.从装有

2025-03-22 23:08:01
推荐回答(1个)
回答1:

(1)X的所有可能数值为为200,20,10,
P(X=200)=

1
35

P(X=20)=
C
C
+
C
C
C
=
16
35

P(X=10)=
C
C
C
=
18
35

∴E(X)=
200
35
+
320
35
+
180
35
=20.
(2)记Yn(n=1,2,3,…,10)为第n次抽奖获得的奖金,Yn的取值为5×2n-1,0,
且P(Yn=5×2n-1)=
2
C
C
=
2(n!)
2n(2n?1)(2n?2)…(n+1)

记an=
2(n!)
2n(2n?1)(2n?2)…(n+1)

下面用数学归纳法证明an
1
3n+1

①当n=1时,a1 =1≤1=
1
30
,命题成立;
②假设当n=k(k∈N*)时,命题成立,即ak
2(k!)
2k(2k?1)(2k?2)…(k+1)
1
3k+1

则当n=k+1时,ak+1
2[(k+1)!]
(2k+2)(2k+1)(2k)…(k+2)

=
(k+1)(k+1)
(2k+2)(2k+1)
?
2(k!)
2k(2k?1)…(k+1)

k+1
2(2k+1)
?
1
3k?1

∵k∈Z,∴由k≥1,得4k+2≥3k+3,
k+1
4k+2
1
3

an+1
k+1
2(2k+1)
?
1
3n+1
1
3
×
1
3k?1
=
1
3k

∴n=k+1时,命题成立,
综合①②,得an
1
3n+1
对一切n∈N*
∴E(Yn)=5×2n-1×an≤5×(
2
3
)n?1
,n=1,2,3,…,10,
记Y为在乙商场抽奖获得的总奖金,则Y=Y1+Y2+…+Y10
∴E(Y)=E(Y1)+E(Y2)+E(Y3)+…+E(Y10)≤5[1+
2
3
+(
2
3
)2+…+(
2
3
)n]
=5×
1?(
2
3
)10
1?
2
3
=15[1-(
2
3
10]<15
∴E(X)<E(Y),即在甲商场抽奖得奖金的期望值更高,故选甲商场.